Too tired tonight to do much else besides review the numbers from the past four days.
The rate of new COVID-19 cases continues to slow. We saw an increase of 33% to a total of 365,525 cases as of this evening. This is 53,000 fewer cases than I predicted. Likewise the increase in deaths has slowed as well. We saw an increase of 54% to 10,925, a good 2000 less than I predicted (though still more than another month's worth of car accident deaths). My new prediction is that by Thursday, April 9 we will have 486,148 cases and 16,825 deaths.
And now to my benchmark states:
Florida: Cases match the national percent increase of 33% to 13,621, 0.06% of the population. Deaths increase 50% to 253, a rate of 2%.
Ohio: Cases increase 34% to 4,450, 0.04% of the population. Deaths increase 56% to 142, a rate of 3.1%
Nebraska: Cases increase 48% to 438, still around 0.02% of the population. Deaths increase 50% to 9, rate of 2%.
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